Politics Betting Rules

The "Party to Win Majority Seats in Canadian Election" market will settle according to which party secures the majority of seats in the House of Commons in the next Canadian general election.

If the election does not take place by December 31, 2025, this market will be voided. In the event of a tie between parties for the majority of seats, this market will be voided.

The resolution of this market will be based solely on the number of seats won by the party, and not on any coalition between parties. The source for settlement of this market will be official results reported by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

The "Next Prime Minister of Canada" market will settle according to which candidate becomes the next Prime Minister of Canada following the election.

Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not be considered for the resolution of this market. If no new Prime Minister of Canada is appointed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will be voided.

The source for settlement of this market will be official information from the Government of Canada.

Presidential Election Winner markets will be settled according to which candidate wins the 2024 United States Presidential election.

The source for settlement will be Fox News, ABC News, and the Associated Press. Once all three sources have reported the same candidate as winner of the 2024 US election, the market will be settled. If all three sources do not report the same candidate as the winner of the 2024 US election by the 2025 Inaguration date (January 20, 2025), the market will settle according to which candidate is inaugurated.

This market will be settled as “Yes” if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris debate for the 2024 US presidential race by September 21, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. An in-person, or virtual debate will count towards settlement of the market as “Yes”. If both candidates agree to a debate, but do not participate, the market will be settled as “No”.

In the event that either candidate is unable to participate in a debate as a result of their death, the market will be voided and stakes returned.

The source for settlement of this market will be footage of the debate.

This market will be settled according to which party wins the Popular Vote in the 2024 US presidential election.

The source for settlement will be a consensus of credible sources reporting on the party who has won the Popular Vote in the 2024 US presidential election.

Popular vote (State) markets will be settled according to which candidate wins the popular vote in the respective state named in the league/market in question in the 2024 US presidential election.

The source for settlement will be a consensus of credible sources reporting on the party who has won the Popular Vote in the 2024 US presidential election.

Trump Odds Movement markets will be settled according to whether Trump's odds of winning the 2024 US presidential election are above or below the odds listed in the market on the date and time listed on the market. For example, the market “Over 51.5% vs. Under 51.5%”, September 1, 2024, 11 AM ET would settle as Over 51.5% if Donald Trump's odds of winning the 2024 US presidential election were greater than 51.5% at 11 AM ET, September 1, 2024. In the event that there is a tie between the over and under, the market will be settled as a push and stakes will be returned.
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Source for settlement will be the average of the last data point before expiry and the first data point after expiry (rounded to 1 decimal place) on Trump's election odds from: https://electionbettingodds.com/.

This market will settle as “Trump and Harris Shake Hands’ if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands at any time before, during, or immediately after the presidential debate scheduled to take place on September 10th, 2024. If the debate is cancelled, postponed, or the two candidates do not shake hands, the market will be settled as “OTHER”.

The source for settlement will be footage of the debate.

Trump mentions markets will be settled according to whether or not Donald Trump says [phrase] or not at any point during the September 10th, 2024 presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the settlement of this market, however other forms will not. The settlement source for this market will be live video of the debate, as well as official transcripts if needed.

Harris mentions markets will be settled according to whether or not Kamala Harris says [phrase] or not at any point during the September 10th, 2024 presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the settlement of this market, however other forms will not. The settlement source for this market will be live video of the debate, as well as official transcripts if needed.